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Consumer Expectations Fall to 68.2 | The Present Reading Jumps to 121.2 | Factories Raise Their Six-Month Plans | None of Today's Three Releases Reaches August

Aug 26, 2026

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4 min read

Consumer Expectations Fall to 68.2 | The Present Reading Jumps to 121.2 | Factories Raise Their Six-Month Plans | None of Today's Three Releases Reaches August

The present-situation index rose 6.8 points. The expectations index fell 5.8 points. Philadelphia's factories raised their six-month readings. Three releases land at 8:30 ET.

Bo Nichols, +1

New Home Sales Slide | Chips Catch a Bid | Canada Answers the Tariff | The Discount Still Misses the Sticker

Aug 25, 2026

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4 min read

New Home Sales Slide | Chips Catch a Bid | Canada Answers the Tariff | The Discount Still Misses the Sticker

New-home sales fell 10.5% to 607,000. The 10-year dropped to 4.63%. Canada set $20 billion of counter-tariffs for September 8.

Bo Nichols, +1

The Resale Median Holds | June's New-Build Average Fell Nearly a Tenth | July Sales Print at Ten | Builders Are Cutting the Rate, Not the Price

Aug 25, 2026

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4 min read

The Resale Median Holds | June's New-Build Average Fell Nearly a Tenth | July Sales Print at Ten | Builders Are Cutting the Rate, Not the Price

Census cannot tell June's median move from zero. It can tell the average fell nearly a tenth.

Bo Nichols, +1

Chips Sell the Relief | Treasury Talks Down Yields | Canada Tariffs Land | The Input Cost the Tape Cannot Hide

Aug 24, 2026

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5 min read

Chips Sell the Relief | Treasury Talks Down Yields | Canada Tariffs Land | The Input Cost the Tape Cannot Hide

Nasdaq fell 0.77% as semis broke again. The 10-year eased to 4.70%. WTI stayed near $85. Canada duties hit builders first.

Bo Nichols, +1

US Duty on Canada Lands at 12:01 | The Vehicle Annex Reaches Plywood and Cement | Ottawa Answers September 8 | The Cost the Builder Cannot Pass On

Aug 24, 2026

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5 min read

US Duty on Canada Lands at 12:01 | The Vehicle Annex Reaches Plywood and Cement | Ottawa Answers September 8 | The Cost the Builder Cannot Pass On

A 50% duty landed on a short list of Canadian goods while every market was shut. Ottawa answers September 8. Monday prices it first.

Bo Nichols, +1

The Week the Market Tests What Actually Holds

Aug 23, 2026

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6 min read

The Week the Market Tests What Actually Holds

Nvidia reports Wednesday. Core PCE lands the same morning. Jackson Hole opens Thursday. GDP revision drops mid-week. The week the market finds out which relief actually holds.

Bo Nichols, +1