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WTI Closes Highest in 2.5 Years | Oil Interventions Fall Flat | PCE Lands Pre-Shock | The Fed Steps In Tuesday

Mar 13, 2026

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11 min read

WTI Closes Highest in 2.5 Years | Oil Interventions Fall Flat | PCE Lands Pre-Shock | The Fed Steps In Tuesday

Two interventions failed to move the floor. January PCE arrives this morning into a world it did not capture. The Fed meets Tuesday.

Bo Nichols, +1

Oil Nears $100 Again | Strait Attacks Escalate | Yields Break Higher | The Inflation Shock Widens

Mar 12, 2026

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10 min read

Oil Nears $100 Again | Strait Attacks Escalate | Yields Break Higher | The Inflation Shock Widens

Tanker attacks intensified near the Strait of Hormuz as oil surged and equities sold off. The record oil release failed to stabilize markets. Energy and trade tensions are now pushing inflation risk in the same direction.

Bo Nichols, +1

Brent Tops $100 | IEA's Record Release Holds Nothing | 10-Year Already Priced April | The Fed Walks In Six Days Blind

Mar 12, 2026

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10 min read

Brent Tops $100 | IEA's Record Release Holds Nothing | 10-Year Already Priced April | The Fed Walks In Six Days Blind

Oil crossed $100 at open as overnight strikes hit Dubai, Salalah, and five vessels. The largest reserve release in history moved the ceiling. The strait moved the floor.

Bo Nichols, +1

The Prewar CPI Printed | Tankers Took Fire | Oil Regimes Still Split | The Strait Still Sets the Terms

Mar 11, 2026

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10 min read

The Prewar CPI Printed | Tankers Took Fire | Oil Regimes Still Split | The Strait Still Sets the Terms

February CPI arrived clean, but attacks near Hormuz and a record IEA reserve release kept energy risk alive. Markets absorbed the print. The strait remains the variable.

Bo Nichols, +1

February CPI Arrives Prewar | Hormuz Closure at 100% | Oil Prices Two Regimes | Fed at Near-Certain Hold

Mar 11, 2026

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9 min read

February CPI Arrives Prewar | Hormuz Closure at 100% | Oil Prices Two Regimes | Fed at Near-Certain Hold

The prewar CPI and the postwar Hormuz closure land on the same morning. Only one of them belongs to the economy ahead.

Bo Nichols, +1

The Sentence That Crashed Oil | The Strait That Didn’t Move | Prediction Market Disruption

Mar 10, 2026

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9 min read

The Sentence That Crashed Oil | The Strait That Didn’t Move | Prediction Market Disruption

WTI fell from $90 to $77 after Trump called the war “very complete.” Hormuz closure still prices above 95%. Prediction markets kept the disruption intact.

Bo Nichols, +1