The World’s First Truly Predictive Markets Intelligence Briefing.

Foretell was built on a simple conviction: THE CROWD KNOWS BEFORE THE NEWS.
Every day, billions of dollars flow through markets that trade not assets, but events.
From elections and policy decisions to tech breakthroughs and global crises, prediction markets are transforming the way we understand probability, sentiment, and truth.

Macro Friday Lands | Iran Odds Cross 50% | Fed Hawks Floated Hikes | The Data Drought Ends

Feb 20, 2026

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10 min read

Macro Friday Lands | Iran Odds Cross 50% | Fed Hawks Floated Hikes | The Data Drought Ends

PCE and Q4 GDP land simultaneously this morning. Polymarket held above 93% on $143M before the print. The blind spot closes at 8:30.

Bo Nichols, +1

Iran Strike Odds Hold Near 50% | Stocks Sold the Open | Shutdown Tiers Stay Elevated | AI Leadership Tightens

Feb 19, 2026

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12 min read

Iran Strike Odds Hold Near 50% | Stocks Sold the Open | Shutdown Tiers Stay Elevated | AI Leadership Tightens

Mid-March strike odds stayed near 49% while end-March climbed to 59%. Equities faded, VIX pushed higher, and the shutdown ladder stayed steep. The clocks didn’t slow.

Bo Nichols, +1

Iran Strike Odds Cross 50% | S&P Sentiment Reverses Overnight | Walmart Tests the Consumer | The Clocks Sped Up

Feb 19, 2026

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11 min read

Iran Strike Odds Cross 50% | S&P Sentiment Reverses Overnight | Walmart Tests the Consumer | The Clocks Sped Up

Polymarket prices US strikes on Iran by mid-March at 51%. S&P open odds fell from 68% to 18%. Walmart reports before the bell.

Bo Nichols, +1

Shutdown Extends Past 35 Days | Gold Reclaims $5,000 | AI Leadership Hardens | The Fed Stays Anchored

Feb 18, 2026

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12 min read

Shutdown Extends Past 35 Days | Gold Reclaims $5,000 | AI Leadership Hardens | The Fed Stays Anchored

Shutdown duration tiers surged again, with 30+ and 35+ day scenarios firming sharply. Gold rebounded nearly 2%. AI leadership consolidated further. The rate path remains settled — the clocks do not.

Bo Nichols, +1

Fed Minutes Land Today | Shutdown Forecast Hits 29 Days | Iran Strikes Firm Into March | AI Leadership Narrows

Feb 18, 2026

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10 min read

Fed Minutes Land Today | Shutdown Forecast Hits 29 Days | Iran Strikes Firm Into March | AI Leadership Narrows

Polymarket prices over 90% March hold with $134M in volume. Kalshi's shutdown forecast surged to 29 days. Iran strike odds reached 45% by mid-March. The rate path isn't the open question.

Bo Nichols, +1

Friction, Not Fear | The Shutdown Clock Ticks | Stability Isn’t a Catalyst

Feb 17, 2026

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10 min read

Friction, Not Fear | The Shutdown Clock Ticks | Stability Isn’t a Catalyst

The market absorbed another shutdown day without panic, but the timeline stretched. Stability is baseline; duration and proof now define risk.

Bo Nichols, +1