The World’s First Truly Predictive Markets Intelligence Briefing.

Foretell was built on a simple conviction: THE CROWD KNOWS BEFORE THE NEWS.
Every day, billions of dollars flow through markets that trade not assets, but events.
From elections and policy decisions to tech breakthroughs and global crises, prediction markets are transforming the way we understand probability, sentiment, and truth.

AI Disruption Hits Equities | Shutdown Surges to 96% | Home Sales Crater | Prediction Markets Mapped the Winners

Feb 12, 2026

•

11 min read

AI Disruption Hits Equities | Shutdown Surges to 96% | Home Sales Crater | Prediction Markets Mapped the Winners

S&P down over AI fears. Kalshi and Polymarket converge above 95% on shutdown. CPI and the DHS deadline collide tomorrow.

Bo Nichols, +1

Jobs Beat Faded | Shutdown Held at 80% | Fed Hold Locked at 93% | Infrastructure Pulled Away

Feb 12, 2026

•

11 min read

Jobs Beat Faded | Shutdown Held at 80% | Fed Hold Locked at 93% | Infrastructure Pulled Away

Payrolls beat at 130K but equities closed flat. Shutdown holds near 80%. Fed March hold at 93%. 2025 revisions showed weakest job growth in decades.

Bo Nichols, +1

Payrolls Beat | Shutdown Accelerated | Fed Hold Jumped | Carriers Deployed

Feb 11, 2026

•

9 min read

Payrolls Beat | Shutdown Accelerated | Fed Hold Jumped | Carriers Deployed

NFP printed 130K vs 66K expected. The 10-year rose to 4.175%. Shutdown odds jumped to 84%. March Fed hold surged to 92%.

Bo Nichols, +1

NFP Lands This Morning | Shutdown Climbed to 74% | Iran Deal Odds Rise | The First Timestamp Arrives

Feb 11, 2026

•

11 min read

NFP Lands This Morning | Shutdown Climbed to 74% | Iran Deal Odds Rise | The First Timestamp Arrives

Polymarket's March Fed hold fell to 80% overnight as shutdown odds jumped 8 points. Gold holds above $5,060 while the Dow sits at a record. The delayed payroll report arrives at 8:30am.

Bo Nichols, +1

Deadlines Approached | Rates Reacted | Oil Didn’t | The Gap Held

Feb 10, 2026

•

9 min read

Deadlines Approached | Rates Reacted | Oil Didn’t | The Gap Held

Retail sales stalled and the 10-year fell 5 bps to 4.15%. Gold slipped 1% near $5,000. Polymarket still prices a March Fed hold near 83% as shutdown risk into Friday remains elevated.

Bo Nichols, +1

AI Leadership Flipped | Shutdown Round Two | Three Deadlines, One Recovery

Feb 10, 2026

•

12 min read

AI Leadership Flipped | Shutdown Round Two | Three Deadlines, One Recovery

AI model dominance shifted in a single day, Kalshi shows 66% shutdown Saturday. CPI and DHS collide Friday.

Bo Nichols, +1