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Long Yields Hit Tech | Hormuz Is Not Open | Memory Breaks Again | The Cost the Fed Does Not Set

Aug 18, 2026

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4 min read

Long Yields Hit Tech | Hormuz Is Not Open | Memory Breaks Again | The Cost the Fed Does Not Set

The 30-year hit a 2007 high. WTI held near $85. Hormuz traffic ran near 10 ships. Memory names led the selloff.

Bo Nichols, +1

Thirty-Year Yield Hits 5.31% | Builders Cut Prices Again | Factory Input Prices Outrun Output | The Move the Front End Barely Joined

Aug 18, 2026

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4 min read

Thirty-Year Yield Hits 5.31% | Builders Cut Prices Again | Factory Input Prices Outrun Output | The Move the Front End Barely Joined

The long bond's yield reached its highest since 2007 and the dollar slipped anyway. Builder confidence rose a point. Its forward readings did not move.

Bo Nichols, +1

Oil Reclaims the Tape | Hormuz Falls to Three Ships | The Long End Holds Firm | The Fed Room That Got Smaller

Aug 17, 2026

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4 min read

Oil Reclaims the Tape | Hormuz Falls to Three Ships | The Long End Holds Firm | The Fed Room That Got Smaller

The S&P fell 0.5% as WTI rose to $84.50. Hormuz traffic dropped to three ships. September hold odds rose to 70%.

Bo Nichols, +1

Control Group Turns Negative | Sentiment Falls to 51 | Price Expectations Reach 4.3% | The Day Every Yield Rose

Aug 17, 2026

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5 min read

Control Group Turns Negative | Sentiment Falls to 51 | Price Expectations Reach 4.3% | The Day Every Yield Rose

The retail control group fell 0.4% against a 0.3% gain expected. Sentiment printed 51.0. One-year price expectations rose to 4.3%.

Bo Nichols, +1

The Week the Consumer Meets the Discount Rate

Aug 16, 2026

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6 min read

The Week the Consumer Meets the Discount Rate

Walmart, Home Depot, and Target report. FOMC minutes drop Wednesday. Housing starts Tuesday. Jobless claims Thursday. The 30-year cleared 5.216% last week. This week reads what still fits above that number.

Bo Nichols, +1

The Week the Long End Paid the Most Since 2001

Aug 15, 2026

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7 min read

The Week the Long End Paid the Most Since 2001

CPI matched. PPI ran flat. The Fed got its patience print. Cisco beat and fell. The three-year drew $157 billion. The thirty-year cleared at 5.216%. The bid arrived. It just cost more.

Bo Nichols, +1