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Every day, billions of dollars flow through markets that trade not assets, but events.
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Iran Hits UAE Gas Field | FOMC Convenes | Monday's Rally Reverses | The Infrastructure Markets Said Was Safe

Mar 17, 2026

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10 min read

Iran Hits UAE Gas Field | FOMC Convenes | Monday's Rally Reverses | The Infrastructure Markets Said Was Safe

Brent climbed back above $104 as Iran struck a UAE gas field overnight. The Fed opens today into a picture that changed while markets slept.

Bo Nichols, +1

Kharg Strike Reverberates | Oil Retreats but Risk Holds | Fed Decision Week Begins | The Market Still Prices Restraint

Mar 16, 2026

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9 min read

Kharg Strike Reverberates | Oil Retreats but Risk Holds | Fed Decision Week Begins | The Market Still Prices Restraint

U.S. strikes on Kharg Island shifted the conflict’s energy map. Oil pulled back Monday, but every major market still runs on the assumption that Iran’s export terminals remain untouched.

Bo Nichols, +1

Kharg Island Escalates | Oil Holds $100 | Fed Hold Locked | The Price That Assumes Restraint

Mar 16, 2026

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9 min read

Kharg Island Escalates | Oil Holds $100 | Fed Hold Locked | The Price That Assumes Restraint

U.S. forces struck military targets on Iran's main oil hub Friday night. Oil infrastructure was spared, conditionally. Every market price this week runs on that condition holding.

Bo Nichols, +1

The Week Ahead Meets the Shock Behind Us

Mar 15, 2026

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12 min read

The Week Ahead Meets the Shock Behind Us

Last week markets learned the Strait would not reopen quickly. This week the calendar begins measuring the cost. Data, earnings, and the Fed all land in the same window.

Bo Nichols, +1

Six Things That Actually Drove Markets This Week

Mar 14, 2026

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11 min read

Six Things That Actually Drove Markets This Week

Oil stopped behaving like a headline. Shipping became the variable. The Fed stayed frozen. Prediction markets tested every narrative. And by Friday, traders were no longer asking if the Strait would reopen but how long the system could run without it.

Bo Nichols, +1

WTI Nears $100 | Interventions Fail Again | PCE Shows Sticky Inflation | The Fed Steps Into the Shock

Mar 13, 2026

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10 min read

WTI Nears $100 | Interventions Fail Again | PCE Shows Sticky Inflation | The Fed Steps Into the Shock

Oil closed near multi-year highs despite record reserve releases and sanction waivers. January PCE confirmed inflation was already stubborn before the conflict. The Fed now meets inside an oil shock the data does not capture.

Bo Nichols, +1