The World’s First Truly Predictive Markets Intelligence Briefing.

Foretell was built on a simple conviction: THE CROWD KNOWS BEFORE THE NEWS.
Every day, billions of dollars flow through markets that trade not assets, but events.
From elections and policy decisions to tech breakthroughs and global crises, prediction markets are transforming the way we understand probability, sentiment, and truth.

AI Scare Trade Hit the App Layer | Iran Curve Jumps 46% in a Week | DHS Shutdown Hits Day 39 | The Fed Isn't Moving

Feb 24, 2026

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12 min read

AI Scare Trade Hit the App Layer | Iran Curve Jumps 46% in a Week | DHS Shutdown Hits Day 39 | The Fed Isn't Moving

A Substack scenario repriced IBM's worst day in 25 years. Iran strike odds surged to 63% by March 31. The Fed hold sits at 96% on $166M volume. None of that showed up in Monday's selloff.

Bo Nichols, +1

Dow Drops 800 | Gold Breaks Higher | Iran Holds 60% | The Replacement Regime Bites

Feb 23, 2026

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11 min read

Dow Drops 800 | Gold Breaks Higher | Iran Holds 60% | The Replacement Regime Bites

Tariff relief lasted 36 hours. Equities sold hard. Gold surged 3%. Iran remains 60% by month end. The calendar didn’t slow — price caught up.

Bo Nichols, +1

Tariff Relief Lasted One Weekend | Iran at 60% by March | Nvidia Reports Wednesday | SOTU Prices Tariff Tone Tonight

Feb 23, 2026

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11 min read

Tariff Relief Lasted One Weekend | Iran at 60% by March | Nvidia Reports Wednesday | SOTU Prices Tariff Tone Tonight

New 15% tariff priced at 98% before month end. Iran strike at 60% by March 31 on $371M Polymarket volume. Oil fell Monday regardless.

Bo Nichols, +1

Feb 22, 2026

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11 min read

Five Clocks Walk Into a Busy Week

Shutdown math, Iran timing, a pinned Fed, housing strain, and narrowing AI leadership now run into ADP, PPI, heavy earnings, and a parade of Fed speakers.

Bo Nichols, +1

Six Things That Actually Moved Markets This Week

Feb 21, 2026

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11 min read

Six Things That Actually Moved Markets This Week

The shutdown stopped being a headline and became a timer. Iran went from maybe later to coin flip by mid March. The Fed stayed pinned. AI winners narrowed. Gold stayed bid. And prediction markets kept repricing while stocks were asleep.

Bo Nichols, +1

Tariffs Struck Down | Strike Odds Rise Again | PCE Lands Firm | The Calendar Compressed

Feb 20, 2026

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10 min read

Tariffs Struck Down | Strike Odds Rise Again | PCE Lands Firm | The Calendar Compressed

The Supreme Court swept tariffs. Trump threatened new ones within hours. Core PCE ran firm. Iran mid-March strike odds climbed to 53%. The drought ended. The compression began.

Bo Nichols, +1